Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction: kick-off is at 12:30 WAT on Saturday 24 October 2026 at Villa Park, Birmingham. Manchester City are the clear favourites with a 65% win chance according to the model probabilities.
Form
Aston Villa vs Manchester City form guide
Aston Villa have won four and drawn one of their last five games, scoring 15 goals and conceding four. Manchester City have won four and lost one recently, netting 18 goals and conceding 10 over the same period.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings show Aston Villa winning three of the last five matches against Manchester City, including a 2-1 victory on 24 May 2026 and a 1-0 win on 26 October 2025.
Premier League table
Manchester City lead the Premier League with 21 points from 7 games, scoring 19 and conceding 7. Aston Villa are 12th with 8 points, having scored 7 and conceded 11.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 1 | Manchester City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
Odds and tips
Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction: odds and best bets
Paripesa prices Aston Villa at 4.98, the draw at 4.37 and Manchester City at 1.71.
GG is priced at 1.53 and NG at 2.36. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 1.5%, so each implied chance carries a little extra on top of the fair one.
Best bets
The main tip is Manchester City to win at 65%. Priced at 1.71, which implies 59%, it pays more than the chance suggests.
For goals, over 2.5 goals comes in at 66%.
On GG/NG, both teams to score (GG) is rated at 57%. At 1.53 the implied chance is 65%, above the model, so the price is tight.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City to win | 65% | 1.71 | 59% | +6 |
| Both teams to score (GG) | 57% | 1.53 | 65% | -8 |
Match FAQ
What time does Aston Villa play Manchester City?
Kick-off is 12:30 WAT on Saturday 24 October 2026, at Villa Park in Birmingham.
Who will win Aston Villa against Manchester City?
The Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction is Manchester City to win at 65%. On the model, Aston Villa win 16% of the time, the draw comes in 20% and Manchester City win 65%; no football result is certain.
What are the odds on Aston Villa and Manchester City?
Paripesa priced Aston Villa at 4.98, the draw at 4.37 and Manchester City at 1.71 when the page was written at 00:00 WAT; prices move until kick-off.
Will both teams score?
The GG/NG tip is GG (both teams score), rated at 57%.