Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction: kick-off is at 20:45 WAT on Thursday 29 October 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze. The model favours Atalanta with a 40% win probability.
Form
Fiorentina vs Atalanta form guide
Fiorentina have one win, one draw and three losses in their last five games, scoring 13 and conceding eight goals. Atalanta won two, drew one and lost two of their last five, netting 12 times but conceding 11 goals in the process.
Head-to-head
The last five meetings include two Fiorentina wins, one Atalanta win and two draws, with the most recent match ending 1-1 in May 2026.
Serie A table
Fiorentina sit 19th with 4 points from eight games, scoring 9 and conceding 19 goals. Atalanta are 12th with 10 points, having scored 14 and conceded 15 goals so far.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
Odds and tips
Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction: odds and best bets
Paripesa offers 2.30 on Fiorentina, 3.78 on the draw and 3.17 on Atalanta. For goals, overs are 1.71 and unders 2.32.
GG sits at 1.53 against 2.37 for NG. With a 1.6% margin built into the 1X2 prices, the fair chances run slightly below the implied ones.
Best bets
Main pick: Atalanta or draw (X2), at 64% on the model. At 1.70 the implied chance is 59%, below the model, which makes it the value side.
On the goals line, over 2.5 goals rates 64%. Priced at 1.71, which implies 58%, it pays more than the chance suggests.
For GG/NG, both teams to score (GG) rates 64% on the model. The 1.53 price implies 65%, close to the model figure.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta or draw (X2) | 64% | 1.70 | 59% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.71 | 58% | +6 |
| Both teams to score (GG) | 64% | 1.53 | 65% | -1 |
Match FAQ
What time does Fiorentina play Atalanta?
Kick-off is 20:45 WAT on Thursday 29 October 2026, at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Firenze.
Who will win Fiorentina against Atalanta?
The Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction is Atalanta or draw (X2) at 64%. On the model, Fiorentina win 36% of the time, the draw comes in 24% and Atalanta win 40%; no football result is certain.
What are the odds on Fiorentina and Atalanta?
Paripesa priced Fiorentina at 2.30, the draw at 3.78 and Atalanta at 3.17 when the page was written at 01:30 WAT; prices move until kick-off.
Will both teams score?
The GG/NG tip is GG (both teams score), rated at 64%.