Lecce vs Genoa prediction: kick-off is at 18:00 WAT on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Via Del Mare, Lecce. The model favours Genoa with a 38% chance of winning.
Form
Lecce vs Genoa form guide
Lecce have won one and lost four of their last five games, scoring five goals and conceding 12. Genoa have three wins and two losses in their last five matches, with five goals scored and five conceded.
Head-to-head
In their last five meetings, Lecce won once, Genoa won twice, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent game was a 1-0 victory for Lecce on 24 May 2026.
Serie A table
Lecce sit 14th with 9 points from 9 games, scoring 10 and conceding 19 goals. Genoa are just above them in 13th place with 10 points, 8 goals scored and 13 conceded.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
Odds and tips
Lecce vs Genoa prediction: odds and best bets
Paripesa offers 3.40 on Lecce, 3.17 on the draw and 2.46 on Genoa. For goals, overs are 2.48 and unders 1.63.
GG sits at 1.98 against 1.75 for NG. With a 1.6% margin built into the 1X2 prices, the fair chances run slightly below the implied ones.
Best bets
Main pick: Genoa or draw (X2), at 68% on the model. At 1.37 the implied chance is 73%, above the model, so the price is tight.
On the goals line, under 2.5 goals rates 61%. Priced at 1.63, which implies 61%, the price roughly matches the chance.
For GG/NG, one side fails to score (NG) rates 54% on the model. The 1.75 price implies 57%, more than the model gives it, so the price is short.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa or draw (X2) | 68% | 1.37 | 73% | -5 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | 61% | 0 |
| One side fails to score (NG) | 54% | 1.75 | 57% | -3 |
Match FAQ
What time does Lecce play Genoa?
Kick-off is 18:00 WAT on Sunday 1 November 2026, at Via Del Mare in Lecce.
Who will win Lecce against Genoa?
The Lecce vs Genoa prediction is Genoa or draw (X2) at 68%. On the model, Lecce win 32% of the time, the draw comes in 30% and Genoa win 38%; no football result is certain.
What are the odds on Lecce and Genoa?
Paripesa priced Lecce at 3.40, the draw at 3.17 and Genoa at 2.46 when the page was written at 00:00 WAT; prices move until kick-off.
Will both teams score?
The GG/NG tip is NG (at least one side fails to score), rated at 54%.