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Ligue 1 · Friday 30 October 2026

Lille vs Lens prediction and odds

Lille
1-0
Lens
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Lille vs Lens prediction: kickoff is at 21:05 WAT on Friday 30 October 2026 at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Lille is the model's favourite with a 43% chance of winning.

Lille or draw (1X)
69%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score (GG)
54%

Form

Lille vs Lens form guide

Lille has won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five games, scoring five and conceding nine goals. Lens has won three and lost two in their last five, with seven goals scored and eight conceded.

Lille
Monaco1-1
Galatasaray2-4
Brest1-1
Arsenal0-3
Le Havre AC1-0
Lens
Paris2-1
Club Brugge0-3
Troyes3-1
Sporting CP0-2
Lyon2-1

Head-to-head

The last five meetings show Lille winning three and Lens two, with the most recent match on 4 April 2026 ending 3-0 to Lille.

Lille3-0Lens
Lens3-0Lille
Lille1-0Lens
Lens0-2Lille
Lille2-1Lens

Ligue 1 table

Lille sits third with 15 points from eight games, scoring 11 and conceding six. Lens is seventh with 13 points, 16 goals scored and 12 conceded.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
3Lille8431+515
7Lens8413+413

Odds and tips

Lille vs Lens prediction: odds and best bets

Paripesa prices Lille at 2.64, the draw at 3.58 and Lens at 2.80. Over 2.5 goals pays 1.84 and the under 2.13.

GG is priced at 1.59 and NG at 2.24. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 1.6%, so each implied chance carries a little extra on top of the fair one.

Lille2.64
Draw3.58
Lens2.80
Over1.84
Under2.13
GG1.59
NG2.24
2.643.582.80

Best bets

The main tip is Lille or draw (1X) at 69%. Priced at 1.50, which implies 67%, the price roughly matches the chance.

For goals, over 2.5 goals comes in at 50%. The 1.84 price implies 54%, more than the model gives it, so the price is short.

On GG/NG, both teams to score (GG) is rated at 54%. At 1.59 the implied chance is 63%, above the model, so the price is tight.

Model chance against the odds
TipModelOddsImpliedEdge
Lille or draw (1X)69%1.5067%+2
Over 2.5 goals50%1.8454%-4
Both teams to score (GG)54%1.5963%-9

Match FAQ

What time does Lille play Lens?

Kick-off is 21:05 WAT on Friday 30 October 2026, at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Lille.

Who will win Lille against Lens?

The Lille vs Lens prediction is Lille or draw (1X) at 69%. On the model, Lille win 43% of the time, the draw comes in 27% and Lens win 31%; no football result is certain.

What are the odds on Lille and Lens?

Paripesa priced Lille at 2.64, the draw at 3.58 and Lens at 2.80 when the page was written at 00:00 WAT; prices move until kick-off.

Will both teams score?

The GG/NG tip is GG (both teams score), rated at 54%.