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Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 2026

Milan vs Bologna prediction and odds

Milan
2-4
Bologna
San Siro, Milano

Milan vs Bologna prediction: kick-off is at 18:30 WAT on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at San Siro, Milano. Milan are the model's favourites with a 61% chance of winning.

Milan to win
61%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
One side fails to score (NG)
54%

Form

Milan vs Bologna form guide

Milan have won three, drawn one, and lost one of their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding six. Bologna's recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses, with six goals scored and six conceded over the same period.

Milan
Udinese2-0
Bournemouth0-3
Atalanta3-2
RB Salzburg4-0
Sassuolo1-1
Bologna
Cagliari2-0
Inter Milan1-3
Lecce2-1
Torino1-1
Napoli0-1

Head-to-head

The last five meetings saw Milan win three times, Bologna once, and one match was a narrow Milan victory. The most recent match in February 2026 ended 3-0 to Milan.

Bologna0-3Milan
Milan1-0Bologna
Milan0-1Bologna
Milan3-1Bologna
Bologna2-1Milan

Serie A table

Milan sit fifth in Serie A with 18 points from eight games, scoring 16 and conceding seven. Bologna are 13th with eight points, eight goals scored, and 10 conceded over the same number of matches.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
5Milan8530+918
13Bologna8224-28

Odds and tips

Milan vs Bologna prediction: odds and best bets

Paripesa prices Milan at 1.74, the draw at 4.05 and Bologna at 5.18. Over 2.5 goals pays 1.87 and the under 2.08.

GG is priced at 1.75 and NG at 1.98. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 1.6%, so each implied chance carries a little extra on top of the fair one.

Milan1.74
Draw4.05
Bologna5.18
Over1.87
Under2.08
GG1.75
NG1.98
1.744.055.18

Best bets

The main tip is Milan to win at 61%. Priced at 1.74, which implies 58%, it pays more than the chance suggests.

For goals, under 2.5 goals comes in at 52%. The 2.08 price implies only 48%, so it pays more than the chance.

On GG/NG, one side fails to score (NG) is rated at 54%. At 1.98 the implied chance is 50%, below the model, which makes it the value side.

Model chance against the odds
TipModelOddsImpliedEdge
Milan to win61%1.7458%+3
Under 2.5 goals52%2.0848%+4
One side fails to score (NG)54%1.9850%+4

Match FAQ

What time does Milan play Bologna?

Kick-off is 18:30 WAT on Wednesday 28 October 2026, at San Siro in Milano.

Who will win Milan against Bologna?

The Milan vs Bologna prediction is Milan to win at 61%. On the model, Milan win 61% of the time, the draw comes in 23% and Bologna win 16%; no football result is certain.

What are the odds on Milan and Bologna?

Paripesa priced Milan at 1.74, the draw at 4.05 and Bologna at 5.18 when the page was written at 00:30 WAT; prices move until kick-off.

Will both teams score?

The GG/NG tip is NG (at least one side fails to score), rated at 54%.