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Serie A · Monday 2 November 2026

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction and odds

Sassuolo
2-4
Fiorentina
Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction: kick-off is at 18:30 WAT on Monday 2 November 2026 at Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia. The model favours Sassuolo with a 42% chance of winning.

Sassuolo or draw (1X)
65%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
Both teams to score (GG)
68%

Form

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina form guide

Sassuolo have struggled recently with no wins, one draw and four losses in their last five Serie A games, scoring six and conceding 15. Fiorentina have one win, one draw and three losses in their last five, netting 14 and letting in nine goals.

Sassuolo
Lazio2-6
Como0-2
Frosinone2-4
Milan1-1
Monza1-2
Fiorentina
Atalanta2-2
Inter Milan1-2
Como1-3
Genoa1-2
SS Signa9-0

Head-to-head

Their latest meeting ended goalless on 26 April 2026. Sassuolo won 3-1 at home in December 2025, while Fiorentina claimed a 5-1 victory in April 2024.

Fiorentina0-0Sassuolo
Sassuolo3-1Fiorentina
Fiorentina5-1Sassuolo
Sassuolo1-0Fiorentina
Sassuolo1-3Fiorentina

Serie A table

Sassuolo sit 15th with eight points from nine games, scoring 14 and conceding 22 goals. Fiorentina are 17th with five points, having scored 11 and conceded 21.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
15Sassuolo9225-88
17Fiorentina9126-105

Odds and tips

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction: odds and best bets

On Paripesa, Sassuolo are 2.94 to win, the draw pays 3.79 and Fiorentina are 2.43.

Both teams to score pays 1.46, with NG at 2.56. Paripesa keeps a 1.6% margin on the 1X2 market, which the model strips out before reading the prices.

Sassuolo2.94
Draw3.79
Fiorentina2.43
GG1.46
NG2.56
2.943.792.43

Best bets

Sassuolo or draw (1X) is the main call, rated at 65%. The 1.63 price implies only 61%, so it pays more than the chance.

The goals tip is over 2.5 goals at 80%.

The GG/NG call is both teams to score (GG) at 68%. Priced at 1.46, which implies 68%, the price roughly matches the chance.

Model chance against the odds
TipModelOddsImpliedEdge
Sassuolo or draw (1X)65%1.6361%+4
Both teams to score (GG)68%1.4668%0

Match FAQ

What time does Sassuolo play Fiorentina?

Kick-off is 18:30 WAT on Monday 2 November 2026, at Mapei Stadium in Reggio Emilia.

Who will win Sassuolo against Fiorentina?

The Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction is Sassuolo or draw (1X) at 65%. On the model, Sassuolo win 42% of the time, the draw comes in 23% and Fiorentina win 35%; no football result is certain.

What are the odds on Sassuolo and Fiorentina?

Paripesa priced Sassuolo at 2.94, the draw at 3.79 and Fiorentina at 2.43 when the page was written at 00:30 WAT; prices move until kick-off.

Will both teams score?

The GG/NG tip is GG (both teams score), rated at 68%.