Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction: kick-off is at 16:00 WAT on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. The model favours Bournemouth with a 39% win chance compared to Leeds United's 32%.
Form
Bournemouth vs Leeds United form guide
Bournemouth have won all five of their last games, scoring 14 goals and conceding none, including a 3-0 victory at Manchester United. Leeds United have won one, drawn three, and lost one in their last five, scoring six and conceding four.
Head-to-head
The last two meetings ended in 2-2 draws, with Bournemouth winning 4-1 in April 2023 and Leeds United winning 4-3 in November 2022.
Premier League table
Bournemouth are 13th with nine points from eight games, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Leeds United sit seventh with 11 points from eight games, scoring nine and conceding six.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Leeds United | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
Odds and tips
Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction: odds and best bets
Paripesa offers 2.16 on Bournemouth, 3.56 on the draw and 3.70 on Leeds United. For goals, overs are 1.94 and unders 2.00.
GG sits at 1.68 against 2.08 for NG. With a 1.6% margin built into the 1X2 prices, the fair chances run slightly below the implied ones.
Best bets
Main pick: Bournemouth or draw (1X), at 68% on the model. At 1.32 the implied chance is 76%, above the model, so the price is tight.
On the goals line, under 2.5 goals rates 55%. Priced at 2.00, which implies 50%, it pays more than the chance suggests.
For GG/NG, both teams to score (GG) rates 51% on the model. The 1.68 price implies 60%, more than the model gives it, so the price is short.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth or draw (1X) | 68% | 1.32 | 76% | -8 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 2.00 | 50% | +5 |
| Both teams to score (GG) | 51% | 1.68 | 60% | -9 |
Match FAQ
What time does Bournemouth play Leeds United?
Kick-off is 16:00 WAT on Saturday 31 October 2026, at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.
Who will win Bournemouth against Leeds United?
The Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction is Bournemouth or draw (1X) at 68%. On the model, Bournemouth win 39% of the time, the draw comes in 28% and Leeds United win 32%; no football result is certain.
What are the odds on Bournemouth and Leeds United?
Paripesa priced Bournemouth at 2.16, the draw at 3.56 and Leeds United at 3.70 when the page was written at 00:00 WAT; prices move until kick-off.
Will both teams score?
The GG/NG tip is GG (both teams score), rated at 51%.


