Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction: kick-off is at 13:30 WAT on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Stamford Bridge, London. Chelsea are the favourites with a 53% chance to win according to model probabilities.
Form
Chelsea vs Manchester United form guide
Chelsea have won two and lost three of their last five games, scoring eight and conceding seven goals. Manchester United have struggled more, drawing two and losing three in their last five, with only three goals scored and eleven conceded.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings show a tight rivalry, with Manchester United winning the latest game 1-0 at Chelsea. In the last five matches, Chelsea won twice, Manchester United twice, and there was one draw.
Premier League table
Chelsea sit fifth in the league with 13 points from eight games, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Manchester United are 16th with seven points, having scored 10 and conceded 13 goals so far.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
Odds and tips
Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction: odds and best bets
On Paripesa, Chelsea are 2.07 to win, the draw pays 3.82 and Manchester United are 3.68. The goals line pays 1.71 for three or more and 2.33 for two or fewer.
Both teams to score pays 1.53, with NG at 2.37. Paripesa keeps a 1.6% margin on the 1X2 market, which the model strips out before reading the prices.
Best bets
Chelsea to win is the main call, rated at 53%. The 2.07 price implies only 48%, so it pays more than the chance.
The goals tip is over 2.5 goals at 66%. At 1.71 the implied chance is 59%, below the model, which makes it the value side.
The GG/NG call is both teams to score (GG) at 65%. Priced at 1.53, which implies 65%, the price roughly matches the chance.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea to win | 53% | 2.07 | 48% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.71 | 59% | +7 |
| Both teams to score (GG) | 65% | 1.53 | 65% | 0 |
Match FAQ
What time does Chelsea play Manchester United?
Kick-off is 13:30 WAT on Saturday 31 October 2026, at Stamford Bridge in London.
Who will win Chelsea against Manchester United?
The Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction is Chelsea to win at 53%. On the model, Chelsea win 53% of the time, the draw comes in 23% and Manchester United win 24%; no football result is certain.
What are the odds on Chelsea and Manchester United?
Paripesa priced Chelsea at 2.07, the draw at 3.82 and Manchester United at 3.68 when the page was written at 00:00 WAT; prices move until kick-off.
Will both teams score?
The GG/NG tip is GG (both teams score), rated at 65%.