Roma vs Cagliari prediction: kick-off is at 20:45 WAT on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at Olimpico, Roma. The model favours Roma with a 73% chance to win.
Form
Roma vs Cagliari form guide
Roma have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five games, scoring 12 goals and conceding seven. Cagliari have won two, drawn one and lost two in their last five, with four goals scored and eight conceded.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings show Roma won 2-0 at home in February 2026 and 1-0 in March 2025, while Cagliari won 1-0 at home in December 2025. They also drew 0-0 in August 2024 and Roma won 4-0 in February 2024.
Serie A table
Roma sit third in Serie A with 18 points from eight games, scoring 19 and conceding six. Cagliari are ninth with 13 points from eight games, scoring six and conceding nine.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
Odds and tips
Roma vs Cagliari prediction: odds and best bets
Paripesa offers 1.38 on Roma, 5.28 on the draw and 9.75 on Cagliari. For goals, overs are 1.71 and unders 2.32.
GG sits at 1.95 against 1.78 for NG. With a 1.6% margin built into the 1X2 prices, the fair chances run slightly below the implied ones.
Best bets
Main pick: Roma to win, at 73% on the model. At 1.38 the implied chance is 72%, in line with the model.
On the goals line, over 2.5 goals rates 52%. Priced at 1.71, which implies 58%, it is short for the chance.
For GG/NG, one side fails to score (NG) rates 60% on the model. The 1.78 price implies only 56%, so it pays more than the chance.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma to win | 73% | 1.38 | 72% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.71 | 58% | -6 |
| One side fails to score (NG) | 60% | 1.78 | 56% | +4 |
Match FAQ
What time does Roma play Cagliari?
Kick-off is 20:45 WAT on Tuesday 27 October 2026, at Olimpico in Roma.
Who will win Roma against Cagliari?
The Roma vs Cagliari prediction is Roma to win at 73%. On the model, Roma win 73% of the time, the draw comes in 18% and Cagliari win 8%; no football result is certain.
What are the odds on Roma and Cagliari?
Paripesa priced Roma at 1.38, the draw at 5.28 and Cagliari at 9.75 when the page was written at 00:30 WAT; prices move until kick-off.
Will both teams score?
The GG/NG tip is NG (at least one side fails to score), rated at 60%.