Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction and odds

Sassuolo has won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five games, scoring seven and conceding eleven. Lazio has four wins and one draw in their last five, netting thirteen and conceding five. Lazio's recent form shows a strong unbeaten run in Serie A.

Sassuolo

Como0-2

Frosinone2-4

Milan1-1

Monza1-2

Juventus3-2

Lazio

Parma2-1

Juventus3-0

Monza3-1

Juve Stabia3-3

Arezzo2-0

Head-to-head

Lazio won the latest meeting 2-1 in March 2026. Recent encounters include two Lazio wins, one Sassuolo victory, and a draw, indicating competitive fixtures between the sides.

Serie A table

Sassuolo sits 14th with eight points from eight games, scoring twelve and conceding sixteen. Lazio is second with 22 points from eight games, scoring sixteen and conceding five.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
14	Sassuolo	8	2	2	4	-4	8
2	Lazio	8	7	1	0	+11	22

Paripesa offers 3.44 on Sassuolo, 3.61 on the draw and 2.24 on Lazio. For goals, overs are 1.76 and unders 2.24.

GG sits at 1.56 against 2.30 for NG. With a 1.5% margin built into the 1X2 prices, the fair chances run slightly below the implied ones.

Paripesa

Bet at Paripesa

Sassuolo3.44

Draw3.61

Lazio2.24

Over1.76

Under2.24

GG1.56

NG2.30

3.443.612.24

Best bets

Main pick: Lazio to win, at 55% on the model. At 2.24 the implied chance is 45%, below the model, which makes it the value side.

On the goals line, over 2.5 goals rates 57%. Priced at 1.76, which implies 57%, the price roughly matches the chance.

For GG/NG, both teams to score (GG) rates 55% on the model. The 1.56 price implies 64%, more than the model gives it, so the price is short.