AEK Athens vs Real Madrid prediction: kick-off is at 18:45 WAT on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at OPAP Arena, Athens. Real Madrid is the clear favourite with an 80% chance to win according to the model probabilities.
Form
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid form guide
AEK Athens has won two and lost three of their last five games, scoring and conceding 10 goals each. Real Madrid is in strong form, winning all five recent matches and netting 17 goals while conceding six. Both sides have shown contrasting recent performances.
Head-to-head
The last meetings between these teams were in 2002, ending in draws: 2-2 at Real Madrid and 3-3 at AEK Athens.
Champions League table
AEK Athens sits 27th with 3 points from 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 goals. Real Madrid is 5th with 9 points from 3 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5 goals.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
Odds and tips
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid prediction: odds and best bets
Paripesa prices AEK Athens at 11.40, the draw at 7.42 and Real Madrid at 1.26.
GG is priced at 1.64 and NG at 2.15. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 1.6%, so each implied chance carries a little extra on top of the fair one.
Best bets
The main tip is Real Madrid to win at 80%. Priced at 1.26, which implies 79%, the price roughly matches the chance.
For goals, over 2.5 goals comes in at 81%.
On GG/NG, both teams to score (GG) is rated at 58%. At 1.64 the implied chance is 61%, above the model, so the price is tight.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid to win | 80% | 1.26 | 79% | +1 |
| Both teams to score (GG) | 58% | 1.64 | 61% | -3 |
Match FAQ
What time does AEK Athens play Real Madrid?
Kick-off is 18:45 WAT on Wednesday 4 November 2026, at OPAP Arena in Athens.
Who will win AEK Athens against Real Madrid?
The AEK Athens vs Real Madrid prediction is Real Madrid to win at 80%. On the model, AEK Athens win 8% of the time, the draw comes in 12% and Real Madrid win 80%; no football result is certain.
What are the odds on AEK Athens and Real Madrid?
Paripesa priced AEK Athens at 11.40, the draw at 7.42 and Real Madrid at 1.26 when the page was written at 00:00 WAT; prices move until kick-off.
Will both teams score?
The GG/NG tip is GG (both teams score), rated at 58%.