Porto vs Napoli prediction: the match kicks off at 21:00 WAT on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto. The model favours Porto with a 40% win chance over Napoli's 35%.
Form
Porto vs Napoli form guide
Porto has won three and lost two of their last five matches, scoring nine and conceding five goals. Napoli's recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses, with 11 goals scored and 10 conceded in the same period.
Head-to-head
The last two meetings between Porto and Napoli were in March 2014, with a 2-2 draw and a 1-0 Porto win.
Champions League table
Porto sits 35th with zero points from three games, scoring two and conceding six goals. Napoli is 24th with three points, five goals scored, and seven conceded in three games.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
Odds and tips
Porto vs Napoli prediction: odds and best bets
On Paripesa, Porto are 1.98 to win, the draw pays 3.91 and Napoli are 3.93. The goals line pays 1.79 for three or more and 2.19 for two or fewer.
Both teams to score pays 1.62, with NG at 2.19. Paripesa keeps a 1.5% margin on the 1X2 market, which the model strips out before reading the prices.
Best bets
Porto or draw (1X) is the main call, rated at 65%. The 1.30 price implies 77%, more than the model gives it, so the price is short.
The goals tip is over 2.5 goals at 51%. At 1.79 the implied chance is 56%, above the model, so the price is tight.
The GG/NG call is both teams to score (GG) at 54%. Priced at 1.62, which implies 62%, it is short for the chance.
| Tip | Model | Odds | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto or draw (1X) | 65% | 1.30 | 77% | -12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.79 | 56% | -5 |
| Both teams to score (GG) | 54% | 1.62 | 62% | -8 |
Match FAQ
What time does Porto play Napoli?
Kick-off is 21:00 WAT on Wednesday 4 November 2026, at Estádio do Dragão in Porto.
Who will win Porto against Napoli?
The Porto vs Napoli prediction is Porto or draw (1X) at 65%. On the model, Porto win 40% of the time, the draw comes in 25% and Napoli win 35%; no football result is certain.
What are the odds on Porto and Napoli?
Paripesa priced Porto at 1.98, the draw at 3.91 and Napoli at 3.93 when the page was written at 00:00 WAT; prices move until kick-off.
Will both teams score?
The GG/NG tip is GG (both teams score), rated at 54%.